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Bessent's 'I Am the House' Remark Caps Tumultuous Week for Markets

By Advos
Treasury Secretary Bessent's claim of inside information on the yen, coupled with a post-Labor Day selloff and rising yields, highlights growing concerns about government market influence and Fed credibility.
Bessent's 'I Am the House' Remark Caps Tumultuous Week for Markets

The latest episode of the investing podcast DH Unplugged, titled 'I Am The House,' arrives amid a turbulent week for financial markets. Hosts Andrew Horowitz and JC Dvorak dissect a post-Labor Day selloff that saw the Dow drop more than 600 points, while Treasury Secretary Bessent openly boasted about holding inside information on the Japanese yen. The hosts frame this comment as a watershed admission that policymakers now play the market as 'the house,' a reference to the casino term for the entity that sets odds and typically wins.

Horowitz recounts Bessent's remarks on the yen trade, saying, 'His way of putting this is, I have an edge. And he even said, because I have the information, I have the inside information about what Japan is doing, therefore when I say something, it's not going to be speculative. It's going to be absolute.' Dvorak places the moment in historical context, arguing that since 2008 the government has increasingly behaved like the Roman Senate before Caesar, and that the Trump era simply made the dynamic impossible to ignore.

The episode also previews a Consumer Price Index (CPI) report due on Friday, which many strategists are calling the ultimate credibility test for the Federal Reserve. With inflation data potentially influencing the Fed's next moves, the stakes are high for both policymakers and investors.

Beyond the political and policy drama, the hosts delve into several market-moving themes. They note a 'dead-quiet' Strait of Hormuz on AIS trackers, a possible sign of reduced oil shipping traffic, against the backdrop of Goldman Sachs' $120 per barrel oil target. This comes as energy prices remain a key concern for global growth.

Bond markets are also under scrutiny, with 10-year and 30-year Treasury yields rising against a $40 trillion debt backdrop. Horowitz explains that his firm is buying only short-duration Treasuries, citing the crush of new issuance from Washington and from data center operators tapping capital markets globally. The hosts connect these trends to recent equity moves, including Bloom Energy's addition to the S&P 500, sympathy rallies in nuclear-related stocks like Oklo and SMR, and strength in Intel, AMD, and SK Hynix ahead of Broadcom earnings.

Other topics covered in the episode include Meta's roughly $18 billion multi-state settlement over youth safety guardrails, a significant legal and financial development for the tech giant. They also discuss NVIDIA's reported $13 billion acquisition of Hugging Face, a move that JC claims to have called a week early. The podcast touches on Shein's downsized Hong Kong IPO, Good Good Golf's Callaway ad backlash, Nike's exit from the S&P 500, Argentina beef imports, a 162,000 payrolls print, and Astra's partial Navier-Stokes proof.

The hosts' skeptical, unfiltered tone is a hallmark of DH Unplugged, which blends Fed watching, earnings analysis, commodities, tech trends, and offbeat cultural commentary. Episode 817 is available now wherever podcasts are heard, including dhunplugged.com, Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and Amazon Music/Podcasts. As markets continue to navigate uncertainty, the insights from this episode offer a critical perspective on the forces shaping the financial landscape.

Advos

Advos

@advos