Investment analysts Filip Tortevski, Janine Cox, and Pedro Banales from Wealth Within have identified seven ASX stocks that historically demonstrate resilience during the typically volatile September-October period. Historical data shows these months are consistently the market's worst performing, with the All-Ordinaries Index having rallied over 26% since April and being overdue for correction.
The analysts emphasize that while September and October often experience pullbacks, not all stocks decline during this period. Their approach focuses on stock-specific seasonality supported by technical confirmation rather than blanket sector bets. Financials and select consumer names often hold up well during these periods, while miners can be the swing factor in market performance.
TechnologyOne (ASX: TNE) appears as a quality tech compounder with historically resilient behavior from September to October, often consolidating sideways rather than breaking down. Qantas (ASX: QAN), having transformed post-COVID, is making new highs with a well-defined rising trend, with its June low serving as a critical support level.
Pro Medicus (ASX: PME) typically uses September as a springboard into strong runs, with short-term support around $300. HUB24 (ASX: HUB) shows a strong trend but is extended, with analysts preferring a pullback to fill gaps around $92 before considering fresh entry. ANZ Group (ASX: ANZ) offers defensive characteristics among major banks, still trading below its all-time high with approximately 11% upside potential to previous peaks.
Xero (ASX: XRO) demonstrates strong October seasonality despite potential September softness, with $155 support and trend/momentum confluence serving as key levels to watch. Aristocrat Leisure (ASX: ALL) trades near all-time highs with constructive structure and potential to join the "$100 club," with healthy pullbacks offering entry opportunities.
The analysts recommend combining seasonal patterns with price action confirmation, defining invalidation levels before entry, scaling position sizes according to volatility, and respecting gaps and retests. They suggest reviewing holdings with US parcel exposure due to new US de minimis rules that have prompted Australia Post to pause parcels to the US amid tariff changes lowering duty-free thresholds.
For investors seeking to systemize this approach, Wealth Within offers educational resources including their Diploma of Share Trading & Investment and advanced stock trading course that demonstrate how to combine fundamentals, price patterns, and timing strategies.
